different from oil. Vitally important to some MENA economies – Qatar, Algeria, Oman, Bahrain, Egypt.
Two full weeks into the attack, the more pessimistic scenarios are looking increasingly likely; President Hadi’s relations with the UAE improve after a meeting with MBZ; other important developments go unnoticed.
Impressions of the Vienna OPEC meetings. Complicated interpretation of the final communiqué. All more or less satisfied, price likely to settle around $75. Long-term issues ducked.
OPEC plus Russia respond vaguely to Trump’s tweets – “need to keep prices down!” Russia plays it soft but everything hangs on Saudi Arabia.
– lifting the ban has gone smoothly, numbers small so far. Why was there a ban and why was it lifted so clumsily? Consequences including prospects for further reform.
Syria – next major fighting expected in the south-west, near Golan Heights, Israel and Jordan.
– historical background – small scale but some abuses. Crackdown on Islamism, freedom of expression curtailed.
Turkey moves to presidential system. Odds on AKP victory, but opposition in with a chance. Importance for the Arab world.
Rare appearance in public of UAE President Khalifa bin Zayid. Family history, jobs for the boys.
Cancellation of a friendly with Argentina an own goal for Israel. Israel more and more concerned about BDS.