Qatar an unnecessary crisis, obscured by concealment and lies. With luck it may end in a fudge, but some enduring political damage.
Two surveys of the attitudes of Palestinians living in the West Bank and Gaza and a recent visit to the West Bank suggest widespread dissatisfaction with the PA and Palestinian leaders; a certain pragmatism in terms of relations with Israel in the short term; and a strong desire to live elsewhere.
China, USA, UAE and others building up their presence in the Horn of Africa – why?
Egypt: numerous deaths in clashes with police. Northern Sinai insurgency, resistance to oppressive government, an attack in a tourist resort.
Although history tells us it would be most unwise to write him off yet, the tide may be turning against President Erdoğan if the opposition can unite and especially if forecasts of an economic slowdown prove to be correct.
Arab Digest is taking a summer break. We expect our next posting to be on Monday 17 July.
Syria – hints of improvement on the ground. Astana talks continue, Geneva next week. Trump and Tillerson speak with different voices.
Chapter 20 of new e-book looks at the evolution of three different paths of Wahhabism and considers how they intersect with one another and with the global Jihad phenomenon.
Many parts of the Arab world will be badly affected by the likely rise in sea-level brought about by climate change. The Gulf states and the Nile Delta look likely to be hardest hit, though the former (being richer) will be better able to cope than Egypt.
Hamas/Egypt talks productive. Return of Muhammad Dahlan. Possible prisoner swap with Israel. Hamas and the Gulf dispute.