Yemen war deadlocked. Those doing the fighting mainly Yemenis and African mercenaries. Vast Saudi and UAE arms purchases from US and Europe despite increasing resistance.
Newsletter Archive
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Iraq: elections. Shia/Sunni balancing home and abroad.
Posted onIraq – elections. Turmoil at home, balance abroad but with a tilt towards Iran.
Libya: some progress, Haftar down
Posted onSalamé’s action plan inching forward. Haftar in hospital.
Lebanon: elections next month
Posted onAmid complexities of Lebanese politics, still based on confessionalism, interest in election next month focused on Hizbullah, likely to remain in a strong position.
Israel, the Palestinians and the Arab states: what might the future hold?
Posted onThe Arab states’ developing relations with Israel could weaken the Palestinians’ bargaining position. Alternatively, the Arabs could use their influence to promote a conflict-ending settlement of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. We look at three possible scenarios.
Syria: missile attack
Posted onUS/French/UK strikes against chemical weapons facilities. Success in narrow terms, limited impact in Syria and the region. The war goes on.
Syria: possible US military intervention
Posted onSyria – reported use of gas in eastern Ghouta provokes flip-flop from Trump. Possible US/UK/French intervention. Risk of military clash with Russia.
Honour killing
Posted ona euphemism for extra judicial killing to protect the reputation of a family. Ancient and widespread, but information other than anecdotal exceptionally hard to find.
Algeria: politics frozen, economic and social problems
Posted onBouteflika aged and ailing likely to be kept in office. Oil in decline, economic and social problems. Life in Algeria.
Bahrain reliving its history
Posted onBahrain’s big oil find may be a game changer, but development will not be easy. British naval base returns after 47 years. Bad blood with Qatar.