Elections in 2020, but Bashir likely to remain. Fighting continues in three areas but at a reduced level. Frozen out by the West, flirtation with Moscow.
Newsletter Archive
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Tunisia: Islamism and secularism
Posted onTunisia divided on some issues relating to Islam. Open debate.
Syria: the endgame
Posted onSyrian government forces to target Idlib next. Complications with Israel, Iran, Turkey, Kurds, China, US, IS. Russia in the driving seat.
The hajj: the old and the new
Posted onThe hajj next week, with the Eid on 21 August. Health, innovation, politics, crime, devotion.
Saudi/Canada row: some lessons
Posted onDetails of the Saudi/Canada row clearer. Some lessons to be learned.
Qatar vs Four – real consequences
Posted onThe Qatar vs four dispute appears trivial and absurd but has real consequences – human, political, economic, defence.
Lebanon: post-election stagnation
Posted onHariri seeks to form a Lebanese government following the May elections. Hizbullah/anti-Hizbullah split. No sign of compromise yet.
Canada in the Saudi doghouse
Posted onCanada criticises Saudi detention of women activists and provokes a fierce reaction. US appears indifferent.
Israel: the Druze voice
Posted onThe new Israeli nation state law, widely criticised as racist, has been unexpectedly attacked by the Israeli Druze community, historically loyal to Israel. Some impact in the USA.
Jordan: King returns, action on the Syrian border
Posted onKing of Jordan returns from a long visit to the USA. New government faces old problems. Possible endgame in southern Syria.