Yemen war deadlocked. Those doing the fighting mainly Yemenis and African mercenaries. Vast Saudi and UAE arms purchases from US and Europe despite increasing resistance.
Iraq – elections. Turmoil at home, balance abroad but with a tilt towards Iran.
Salamé’s action plan inching forward. Haftar in hospital.
Amid complexities of Lebanese politics, still based on confessionalism, interest in election next month focused on Hizbullah, likely to remain in a strong position.
The Arab states’ developing relations with Israel could weaken the Palestinians’ bargaining position. Alternatively, the Arabs could use their influence to promote a conflict-ending settlement of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. We look at three possible scenarios.
US/French/UK strikes against chemical weapons facilities. Success in narrow terms, limited impact in Syria and the region. The war goes on.
Syria – reported use of gas in eastern Ghouta provokes flip-flop from Trump. Possible US/UK/French intervention. Risk of military clash with Russia.
a euphemism for extra judicial killing to protect the reputation of a family. Ancient and widespread, but information other than anecdotal exceptionally hard to find.
Bouteflika aged and ailing likely to be kept in office. Oil in decline, economic and social problems. Life in Algeria.
Bahrain’s big oil find may be a game changer, but development will not be easy. British naval base returns after 47 years. Bad blood with Qatar.