Yemen peace talks begin, with release of prisoners as a confidence measure. Saudi Arabia on the back foot, the US administration obsessed with Iran, but Congress looking for a halt.
MBS visited six Arab states before and after the G20. Proof of confidence he is under no threat at home. Governments toe the line of friendship, with some rewards. Problems in the Maghreb.
Saudi Arabia may or may not continue to bend to President Donald Trump’s wish to see the oil price go lower still. But there are good reasons to suppose that, whatever Opec decides on 6 December, the trend for the next few weeks at least may be upwards.
Airbnb delists properties in the occupied West Bank. Outrage in Israel. Economically insignificant but will catch attention for BDS at least for 15 minutes.
US halts support for UNRWA. UNRWA and its activities. Likely political consequences.
Lebanon’s internal complications multiplied by external interference. US exclusion of Hizbullah. Burden of Syrian and Palestinian refugees.
Khashoggi – Turkey keeps up the pressure. Saudi Arabia on the back foot. Congress and media want action. US and other governments face a dilemma.
Gaza – following some apparent easing, the most serious outbreak of violence since 2014. Ceasefire not secure. An incident at the UN.
Sudan – old genocide charge unresolved, but conflicts reduced and security improving. US warming up relations.
Turkish/US relations warmer, Trump/ Erdoğan meeting Sunday, but objectives in Syria seem irreconcilable.