Since the beginning of the year, the development of relations between Iraq and Turkey has gained real momentum. The focus is on trade, water and the reconstruction of Iraq.
Festival marking end of Ramadan probably 5 June. Long holidays, traditional family celebrations, a travel boom. Clash with the cricket World Cup. Multiple wars continue.
Qatar vs. the 4 – petty squabbling continues. Hints of an olive branch, but no solution in sight.
Syria – IS eliminated as a territory. Regime still seeking full control, but (about) five other armies have their own agendas.
Pointless military exchanges between Gaza and Israel – “willing to wound and yet afraid to strike”.
Trump moving to blacklist the Muslim brotherhood – likely consequences including Turkey and several Arab states.
Sudan – huge protests continue and the military continue to give ground. Saudi/UAE/Egypt interest.
The decision not to extend waivers on buying Iranian oil further underlines the Trump Administration’s determination to continue to hit Tehran hard, even at the risk of damage to other important issues, both domestic and international.
Mayoral elections do not go Erdoğan’s way, his first experience of the tendency of the democratic pendulum to swing. A test for Turkish democracy.
Saudi Arabia – the women activists and Khashoggi trials cast a long shadow.