A stunt by a Bahraini protester against the recent executions raises important questions.
Syria – inconclusive fighting in Idlib province and elsewhere. Peace talks not dead.
Libya – stalemate, but a success by the Tripoli forces provokes action by Haftar which could amount to a war crime. More evidence that the UAE and Turkey are involved in a proxy war. US no policy.
Istanbul election defeat accelerates gradual ebbing of the AKP’s popularity, but President Erdoğan still holds other cards; a slow down in Turkish foreign military activity.
Since the beginning of the year, the development of relations between Iraq and Turkey has gained real momentum. The focus is on trade, water and the reconstruction of Iraq.
Festival marking end of Ramadan probably 5 June. Long holidays, traditional family celebrations, a travel boom. Clash with the cricket World Cup. Multiple wars continue.
Qatar vs. the 4 – petty squabbling continues. Hints of an olive branch, but no solution in sight.
Syria – IS eliminated as a territory. Regime still seeking full control, but (about) five other armies have their own agendas.
Pointless military exchanges between Gaza and Israel – “willing to wound and yet afraid to strike”.
Trump moving to blacklist the Muslim brotherhood – likely consequences including Turkey and several Arab states.