Confusion about the future of US action in Syria as Trump’s announcement of withdrawal is seemingly undermined.
Trial of 11 unnamed persons for the Khashoggi murder begins. Any stick will now do to beat Saudi Arabia.
Iraq politicking – no government six months after the election. Trump’s undiplomatic visit. IS ruination – the fight continues.
Turkey still poised to extend its invasion of northern Syria, but faces uncertainties with US and Russia.
Any Turkish strike on Kurds in Syria east or west of the Euphrates unwelcome to the Pentagon and would risk a clash with US-led or actual US troops.
Khashoggi – Turkey keeps up the pressure. Saudi Arabia on the back foot. Congress and media want action. US and other governments face a dilemma.
Turkish/US relations warmer, Trump/ Erdoğan meeting Sunday, but objectives in Syria seem irreconcilable.
Erdoğan all but fingers MBS for the murder. Prince Ahmad returns from London. Saudi Arabia losing some of its international grip, e.g. on Yemen.
surviving the siege. Further slow reform. A useful mediator.
Syria – Idlib ceasefire holds. Turkey/Russia/Germany/France summit. Political agreement still elusive, many local problems.