Consequences of President Essebsi’s death being well handled, but in a democracy anything can happen.
Tunisia – President Essebsi survives a health crisis. Jihadi attacks. Economic problems breed discontent.
Trump moving to blacklist the Muslim brotherhood – likely consequences including Turkey and several Arab states.
Annual Arab League summit the usual muddle, given some purpose by the need to badmouth US policy.
Tunisia – a suicide recalls the spark of the Arab Spring. One day general strike, government caught in the austerity trap. Security improved and tourism up.
Tunisia – continuing corruption, weariness and despair among the young. Only the central bank under Marouane El Abassi tackling Tunisia’s internal and external economic problems.
MBS visited six Arab states before and after the G20. Proof of confidence he is under no threat at home. Governments toe the line of friendship, with some rewards. Problems in the Maghreb.
Tunisia – MBS visit handled smoothly. Economic problems and strikes. Tourism up. The ghost of the Arab Spring.
Elections have been held in Bahrain since 2002 but have yet to have much meaning. Homage to MBS. Bahrain in Israel’s sights.
Mawlid popular holiday, widely celebrated by both Sunnis and Shia but condemned by some including Saudi Arabia and Qatar. The Prophet’s Birthday (al-Mawlid al-Nabawi, or simply Mawlid) is celebrated in the month of Rabi’ al-awwal, by Sunnis usually on the 12th and by Shia on the 17th. There is some flexibility as the precise date is not recorded. This year 12 Rabi’ al-awwal coincides with 21 November, and in most Arab and Muslim states Mawlid will be today or tomorrow, though the celebrations begin the night before. In some countries …