2019 has seen the biggest protests in the MENA region since 2011 together with ongoing wars, escalating tensions and economic and political insecurity.
Kais Saied president of Tunisia by a landslide – rejection of the ruling elite.
Tunisia – presidential election next week a run-off between one candidate who can’t campaign and another who doesn’t. Parliamentary election no clear winner. Economy in poor shape.
Tunisia – surprise result of first round of presidential election – Robocop Kais Saied takes the lead.
Consequences of President Essebsi’s death being well handled, but in a democracy anything can happen.
Tunisia – President Essebsi survives a health crisis. Jihadi attacks. Economic problems breed discontent.
Trump moving to blacklist the Muslim brotherhood – likely consequences including Turkey and several Arab states.
Annual Arab League summit the usual muddle, given some purpose by the need to badmouth US policy.
Tunisia – a suicide recalls the spark of the Arab Spring. One day general strike, government caught in the austerity trap. Security improved and tourism up.
Tunisia – continuing corruption, weariness and despair among the young. Only the central bank under Marouane El Abassi tackling Tunisia’s internal and external economic problems.