Saudi Arabia heads into the Vienna OPEC meeting facing stiff headwinds in its bid to secure a higher price for oil.
Too many players engaged on both sides in Libya’s civil war to assume that Khalifa Haftar will emerge victorious. America is the wild card.
While a broader ceasefire generally holds, the battle for a small village in North Syria has important implications for the Syrian regime, the Kurds, Putin and Erdogan.
Putin’s visits to Saudi Arabia and the UAE mark a significant change in the relationship, as perceptions of US decline are reinforced by Trumpian flip-flop.
The military balance shifts against Turkey and its Arab allies as the YPG strikes a deal agreement with al-Assad and Russia backs Syria over Turkey.
Iranian tanker reportedly attacked off Jedda, but facts and responsibility unclear. More US forces to Saudi Arabia.
Haftar’s military operation to take Tripoli seems to have failed. His foreign supporters. Need for an international conference and a political solution.
Houthis claim the attack on Saudi oil facilities, Pompeo blames Iran, Trump hesitant. A major blow.
Erdoğan/Putin rapprochement – Turkey slipping away from the West, but in Syria losing ground to Asad backed by Moscow.
Competing ideas for increased security in the Gulf “tinderbox”. UK under Johnson backs the US. Legal considerations.