The Iraqi Kurds appear determined to go ahead with their referendum on independence on 25 September, despite almost universal international opposition. (Israel is a notable exception.) The result will undoubtedly be in favour but a unilateral declaration of independence the day after seems unlikely.
Iraq: following the liberation of Mosul and Tal Afar the next target is Hawija , the last major IS-held town. Kurdish and other post-war complications. Key supply route from Jordan reopened.
Perhaps especially following the ouster of Stephen Bannon, there are some parallels between what seems to be happening presently inside the Trump Administration and the shifting dynamics inside the Administration of George W Bush which led to the US invasion of Iraq in 2003.
Politics taking over after the Mosul victory over IS. Elections next April in Iraq, referendum next month in Kurdistan. Saudi interest – hint of détente with Iran.
Chapter 19 of new e-book examines the rise of Erdoğan and considers the prospect of Turkey overcoming his grip.
A decision by Kirkuk Provincial Council to raise the Kurdish flag alongside the Iraqi national flag has provoked a hostile reaction from those who fear an attempt by Iraqi Kurdish leaders to incorporate the Province into the Kurdistan Region and possibly an eventual independent Kurdish state.
Chapter 11 of new Arab Digest / Global Policy Journal e-book argues that there are some parallels between what seems to be happening presently inside the Trump Administration and the shifting dynamics inside the Administration of George W Bush which led to the US invasion of Iraq in 2003.
Tenth chapter of new Arab Digest / Global Policy Journal e-book considers the breakdown of the old order in the region, takes a bold look at the future and concludes with some advice for western policymakers.
Iraqi Christians have long experienced persecution and, since 2003, have been subject to repeated and severe attacks. Many have sought refuge abroad or in the Kurdistan Region. However, despite their greatly-depleted numbers, Iraq is not likely to lose its Christian presence entirely. We last looked at a Middle Eastern Christian community in our post of 8 March on Egyptian Copts (“Egypt: for the Copts Sisi is best option”). The Iraqi Christians are a smaller community than the Copts, and, since 2003, they have suffered even more. Most Iraqi Christians (around …
Displaced citizens are returning to eastern Mosul, following its recapture from IS. There are other signs of normality to be seen, too. But it will be a long time before eastern Mosul is fully back to normal. And the operation to re-capture the western part of the city has only just begun.