The military balance shifts against Turkey and its Arab allies as the YPG strikes a deal agreement with al-Assad and Russia backs Syria over Turkey.
Syria – US permits and then opposes Turkish assault on the Kurdish north. Fears that IS may rise from the ashes.
Donald Trump is not being as inconsistent over the Middle East as the news flow may have you believe.
Syria – IS eliminated as a territory. Regime still seeking full control, but (about) five other armies have their own agendas.
sectarianism is a symptom of the problem, not the underlying problem itself. Many of the region’s conflicts are more about ethnic identity and nationalism, but Arab dictators use sectarianism to bolster their positions.
Donald Trump’s announcement that he is withdrawing all US military personnel from Syria may fulfil one of his 2016 election pledges to the American people. But it is also a — domestically driven — betrayal of key American allies, not least the Kurds. Latest clear indicator of the overall shape of US foreign policy for as long as Mr Trump remains in the Oval Office.
Any Turkish strike on Kurds in Syria east or west of the Euphrates unwelcome to the Pentagon and would risk a clash with US-led or actual US troops.
Syria – Idlib ceasefire holds. Turkey/Russia/Germany/France summit. Political agreement still elusive, many local problems.
Erdoğan shrugging off what appears to outsiders an economic crisis. How far will he take his criticisms of the US?
Syrian government forces to target Idlib next. Complications with Israel, Iran, Turkey, Kurds, China, US, IS. Russia in the driving seat.