Palestinians, whether official or business, will not attend the Bahrain workshop. Seven Arab states will nevertheless take part; so will some international organisations. The event will not be a resounding success but an embarrassing flop may have been narrowly avoided.
US shuttle diplomacy has achieved agreement on talks to take place between Lebanon and Israel on the maritime border.
Kushner briefly visits Morocco and Jordan to boost the deal of the century. Netanyahu’s failure to form a government may have put the kibosh on the timing if not the deal itself.
Qatar vs. the 4 – petty squabbling continues. Hints of an olive branch, but no solution in sight.
Israeli restrictions prevent the economy of the Occupied Palestinian Territories from functioning normally and the Palestinian Authority depends on external sources to fund its budget. It decided to forego the most important of these sources four months ago and its financial crisis is now severe.
Announcement that the economic part of the Trump plan for Palestine will be unveiled in Bahrain in June gets a bad press.
The US President’s re-election calculus stands to be more important in determining American policy in the Middle East than the views of any number of advisors and US allies.
The appearance of the Trump peace plan will cause difficulties for Jordan, whether it is accepted or rejected by the Palestinians and Israelis.
Netanyahu has pledged to start extending Israeli sovereignty over the West Bank. What he actually does will depend partly on the politics of the coalition that he is in the process of forming but will also reflect his own cautious instincts.
Pointless military exchanges between Gaza and Israel – “willing to wound and yet afraid to strike”.