Syria – US permits and then opposes Turkish assault on the Kurdish north. Fears that IS may rise from the ashes.
Haftar’s military operation to take Tripoli seems to have failed. His foreign supporters. Need for an international conference and a political solution.
Syria – inconclusive fighting in Idlib province and elsewhere. Peace talks not dead.
Tunisia – President Essebsi survives a health crisis. Jihadi attacks. Economic problems breed discontent.
Ghazouani peacefully elected as president of Mauritania in place of Abdel Aziz – no change. Economy doing well.
Stockholm peace process for Hudaida continues, but so does escalation of the war with Houthi attacks on Saudi territory. Two more tankers hit. Since our posting of 13 May the war in Yemen has continued unabated, not only between the Houthis and the Saudi led coalition forces; Al Qaeda and IS remain active, though largely against each other. Pro-coalition statements routinely describe the Houthis as “Iran backed“, but independent commentators argue that while there is certainly Iranian involvement the Houthi/Iranian relationship is pragmatic and limited. The war has increased …
Libya – descent into civil war. Oil revenue and drinking water supplies under threat.
Syria – IS eliminated as a territory. Regime still seeking full control, but (about) five other armies have their own agendas.
Four oil vessels damaged off Fujaira. Little detail – no casualties or pollution. No claims of responsibility.
Yemen – Houthi withdrawal in Hudaida a small first step. The war goes on. Some unease among the arms suppliers.