Istanbul election defeat accelerates gradual ebbing of the AKP’s popularity, but President Erdoğan still holds other cards; a slow down in Turkish foreign military activity.
Palestinians, whether official or business, will not attend the Bahrain workshop. Seven Arab states will nevertheless take part; so will some international organisations. The event will not be a resounding success but an embarrassing flop may have been narrowly avoided.
Since the beginning of the year, the development of relations between Iraq and Turkey has gained real momentum. The focus is on trade, water and the reconstruction of Iraq.
Three summits, three talking shops. Boilerplate on Palestine. Hard line on Iran rejected by Iraq and Qatar
US military task force to the region. Pompeo tells Iraqis there is a threat from Iran to US forces there.
Trump moving to blacklist the Muslim brotherhood – likely consequences including Turkey and several Arab states.
The IS threat justifies US military presence in Iraq – just. Sectarian violence down.
Rouhani’s successful visit to Iraq – an unprecedented call on Iraq’s top cleric who sent a message of moderation to both Iraq and Iran.
Syria- IS fighting in the last ditch, outside powers manoeuvring for advantage.
With its usual problems plus over a million Syrian refugees Jordan needs support. Some positive developments in the region.