France proposes a Palestine conference in Paris this summer, and will recognise the Palestine state if it fails. Responses not enthusiastic.
UN-led negotiations for a unity government in Libya at last produce a deal: Libyans sign up for a unity government, but can the momentum be sustained? Plans for military support from US and Europe – are they premature?
A shootdown over Syria had been widely predicted. Putin’s reaction characteristically angry, Erdoğan’s characteristically stubborn. Consequences should be limited because all concerned have an interest in working together. IS laughing.
Another international meeting on Syria on the day after the Paris attacks, galvanised by the Sinai bombing of the Russian airliner and by Paris into a more coherent programme towards a negotiated peace in Syria – one day.
International meeting in Vienna on Syria including Iran for the first time (but not Syria) reaches some agreement. UN representative flies to Damascus, next meeting within two weeks.
Libya: UN efforts to form a unitary government continue. Arab intervention – another Yemen?
Deputy crown prince Muhammad bin Salman’s visit to Paris maintains his high profile. Valuable contracts signed or under negotiation.
France cashing some of its chips in Saudi Arabia and Qatar, perhaps also UAE. Relations with Iran threatened.