Weapons sales – a new SIPRI report. USA, Russia and China main suppliers, Saudi Arabia, UAE and Algeria in top five buyers. Arms race expected if sanctions on Iran are lifted.
Palestine/Israel: Trump’s pressure for delay effective on Egypt but notin the UN. The settlements are declared illegal. Israel peeved with everybody. Next move in January.
Two refugee conferences in New York. Pledges fall far short of need. MENA region more than half the world problem. Present global refugee regime not fit for purpose.
IS has lost momentum, under heavy pressure from the US and the whole world. Will it resort to increased terrorism?
Djibouti – French, US, Japanese and now Chinese military bases all in a territory the size of Wales or New Jersey.
UN announce cessation of hostilities in Yemen on 10 April, talks to begin on 18 April. But fighting continues, little sign that the parties will conform.
President Xi Jingping’s visit to Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Iran Is a further important step towards wider Chinese involvement in the Middle East and its problems.
17 January was Iran nuclear agreement “Implementation Day”, a good day. US/Iran relations remain complicated, and Arab/Iran relations tense.
International meeting in Vienna on Syria including Iran for the first time (but not Syria) reaches some agreement. UN representative flies to Damascus, next meeting within two weeks.
Russian entry into Syria opens a gap between Russia and China. China and the new energy landscape.