Syria

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The words "The Qatari Embassy in Israel" projected onto Likud headquarters in Tel Aviv—a visual protest against Netanyahu's long-standing, state-sanctioned backchannel dealings with Doha.

Qatargate and Washington

Summary: much has been made of Qatar’s relationship with both Hamas and the Netanyahu government as a sinister plot; a Washington insider says the reality is far more mundane.
October 12, 2026
Iran-backed militias, funded by the Iraqi state, celebrate National Day in the streets of Baghdad, Saturday 3rd October.

Iraq’s militia deadline is losing its leverage

Summary: Baghdad has backed down from its efforts to disarm Popular Mobilisation Forces pushing the deadline back to 2027 thus sending a clear signal that for now at least it has neither the political clout or the hard power to bring the militias under its control.
October 6, 2026
A photo provided by a Middle Eastern intelligence agency shows vessels for purported chlorine-based weapons with a building with architectural features resembling a barjeel in the background.

Sudan’s Chlorine Controversy 

Summary: allegations regarding the Sudanese Armed Forces’ deployment of weaponised chlorine gas have led to US sanctions. The Sudanese government firmly denies the claims, alleging it is a UAE-backed disinformation operation designed to distract from atrocities committed by the Rapid Support Forces. 
October 5, 2026
Riyadh's "Suez moment" arrives as Washington scales back its commitments, leaving the Gulf states to face regional rivals without an American shield.

Saudi Arabia’s ‘Suez Moment’

Summary: recent events have forced a recognition that the US hegemony in the Middle East is over. How the inevitable vacuum will be filled remains far from clear. But it is hard to be optimistic in the short to medium-term even though there is surely an opportunity for “a new beginning.”
October 1, 2026

A new chapter for Syria’s Kurds

Summary: Syria’s Kurds have moved into a new relationship with Damascus. However integration has proved a difficult challenge with the interim government of Ahmed al-Sharaa needing to do more work to convince Kurds they will have a meaningful place in the new Syria he is attempting to build.
September 3, 2026
Syrian Security forces thwart an attempt to smuggle a shipment of "advanced weapons" and missiles across the Iraqi border, intended for Hezbollah, 16 July 2026

Iraq and Syria: a cautious courtship

Summary: Iraq and Syria have long distrusted one another but economic necessities and the Iran war are leading to a warming in relations.
August 21, 2026
Representatives meet in Damascus to draft Syria’s new anti-money laundering strategy, aiming for international standards while banks manually screen transactions without modern software.

MENA and the flaws in FATF

Summary: five MENA countries are on the Financial Action Task Force’s grey-list “for increased monitoring for strategic deficiencies in their anti-money laundering, counter-terrorist financing, and counter-proliferation financing frameworks”. Getting off the list may be down more to politics than process.
August 20, 2026
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