UAE deploys troops in Socotra provoking local protests and anger from Hadi government officials; Saudi Arabia intervenes, solves the dispute and deploys its own troops.
Unforeseen rise in the oil price. Middle East factors include Saudi requirements and expected sanctions on Iran.
The Syrian economy is growing again and banks that stayed through the war are waiting to capitalize on Syria’s peace dividend. Lebanese banks should be the best placed, but some are leaving the market because Washington has upped the ante against Hezbollah’s global financial enterprise.
UK and Kuwaiti governments in discussions to consider options to enhance the UK military presence in Kuwait.
MBS announces jumbo development in Egypt: UK and USA next in line. More miscellaneous social and economic reforms, but oppressive measures an own goal.
Summary: US aid to Jordan renewed, despite fundamental disagreement on Jerusalem. Jordanian economy on its knees as usual. Diplomatic row with Israel resolved.
Egypt’s presidential election promises to be a lesson in ‘façade democracy’ and is unlikely to resolve any of the basic issues that Egypt faces, despite the IMF’s recent words of encouragement.
Summary: in recent weeks BDS has received support from a federal court ruling in Kansas and a decision of the Danish Parliament. UN blacklist of companies working in the settlements now complete.
Riyadh Ritz reopening soon, remaining prisoners moving to Al Ha’ir prison. Most capitulated, holdouts including Prince Walid bin Talal continue to face torture by mercenary for their confessions and foreign assets. Sex party leaks destroy ex-Telecoms chief Saud Al Daweesh.
Summary: President Abbas blows the whistle on US mediation. Trump cuts contribution to UNRWA. Many questions about the future.