MBS’s Asian tour; Kushner’s Middle East tour. Despite staunch support for MBS from the White House, Congress and the media still want action over Khashoggi. MBS’s survival remains by no means assured.
sectarianism is a symptom of the problem, not the underlying problem itself. Many of the region’s conflicts are more about ethnic identity and nationalism, but Arab dictators use sectarianism to bolster their positions.
Leading Saudi dissident attacked in London. Evidence of orchestration by the Saudis and a delayed response by Met police allows suspects to escape and prompts corruption allegations.
The Fourth Industrial Revolution impacts on every country in the Arab world but policymaking in response to new fintech like blockchain and cryptocurrencies varies widely.
Following a period of stagnation, in which neither or none of the would-be governments in Libya appeared to have the advantage, Libya is now facing a crisis.
Two full weeks into the attack, the more pessimistic scenarios are looking increasingly likely; President Hadi’s relations with the UAE improve after a meeting with MBZ; other important developments go unnoticed.
The humanitarian impact of the Qatar blockade; a Saudi-Qatari prince is rendered from Kuwait to Saudi Arabia; a senior UAE prince defects to Doha via the Qatari embassy in London. Rumours of US-brokered talks in Switzerland to resolve the crisis.
Turkey is Israel’s sixth largest trade partner but the Palestine issue poisons relations; the Turkish public and opposition demand action over Gaza; Turkey and the US also bitterly at odds over a range of major issues.
UAE deploys troops in Socotra provoking local protests and anger from Hadi government officials; Saudi Arabia intervenes, solves the dispute and deploys its own troops.
Unforeseen rise in the oil price. Middle East factors include Saudi requirements and expected sanctions on Iran.