Erdoğan after the Istanbul elections

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Istanbul election defeat accelerates gradual ebbing of the AKP’s popularity, but President Erdoğan still holds other cards; a slow down in Turkish foreign military activity.

MBS: charm offensive

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MBS’s Asian tour; Kushner’s Middle East tour. Despite staunch support for MBS from the White House, Congress and the media still want action over Khashoggi. MBS’s survival remains by no means assured.

Saudi Stray Dogs in the UK

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Leading Saudi dissident attacked in London. Evidence of orchestration by the Saudis and a delayed response by Met police allows suspects to escape and prompts corruption allegations.

Assault on Hodeida

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Two full weeks into the attack, the more pessimistic scenarios are looking increasingly likely; President Hadi’s relations with the UAE improve after a meeting with MBZ; other important developments go unnoticed.

Rendition, defection in the Gulf

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The humanitarian impact of the Qatar blockade; a Saudi-Qatari prince is rendered from Kuwait to Saudi Arabia; a senior UAE prince defects to Doha via the Qatari embassy in London. Rumours of US-brokered talks in Switzerland to resolve the crisis.