1 thought on “The Trump peace plan: petering out?”

  1. There is just one point in Greg’s characteristically acute assessment on which I would raise a question (ie not disagree so much as ponder), that is whether the peace plan would indeed be abandoned in the event that President Trump is removed from office as a result of the impeachment process. In such circumstances, Mike Pence would serve out the rest of the presidential term and would, I think, be the GOP candidate come 3 November 2020. Mr Pence, who is a devout Christian Evangelical, appears to have been close to Mr Trump when it comes to policy on Israel (eg check out on the web photos of the President signing the Executive Order ‘recognising’ Jerusalem as Israel’s capital and you should see Mr Pence standing at his shoulder with a very satisfied look on his face). For sure, I doubt very much that a President Pence would try to move the plan forward before the election. But such polling as there is on ‘Pence 2020’ suggests that he may prove a more difficult incumbent than the current occupant of the Oval Office for any Democratic Party nominee to dislodge. In this scenario (which, I must stress, I currently think to be no more than a possibility, not a probability), I would not rule out a post-election President Pence looking to press ahead with the plan, albeit, perhaps, in somewhat modified form and with someone more capable than Jared Kushner at the helm. None of which is to say that I think it would be any more likely to gain genuine traction in such circumstances.

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