2 thoughts on “Syria: Putin, Erdoğan and an Ilyushin”

  1. Much has changed in the world and the region since 2010; in particular Israel has aquired F-35s. If “Syria” were to down an Israeli F-35 with an S-300, that would be interesting to a number of states.

  2. Russia and Israel are still at odds. Last week, a Russian reconnaissance aircraft was shot down over Syria by Syrian air defences. The Russians still blamed Israel for the attack, but they quickly put the incident behind them. The Russian President, Vladimir Putin, described the event as an accident, and Israel dispatched the Head of its Air Force to brief Russia; but on Sunday the 23rd September, Russia went back on the offensive, claiming that Israel’s version of events represented deliberate lies. According to the Russian Defence Ministry, Israel did not give an adequate warning of the presence of its aircraft over Syria, and Israeli aircraft were not in Israeli airspace at the time Russia’s plane was shot down. Russian media described Israel’s alleged actions as “treacherous,” “deliberate” and “hostile.” Israel’s Defence Minister attempted to defuse the situation, insisting that Israel-Russia relations were “under control,” and rejecting the Russian Defence Ministry’s account of the incident; which is where things really escalated. Russia’s Defence Minister has since said that the country would deliver S-300 air defence systems to the Syrian army within the next couple of weeks. Russia had agreed to provide them to Syria in 2010, but had reneged because of Israeli opposition. For Syria to acquire such weapons would be a red line for Israel that, if crossed, could provoke a military response. If Russia moves forwards, an already bad situation could worsen quickly.

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