1 thought on “Deal of the Century part one – economics”

  1. Two documents well worth a read are the interview Jared Kushner did 2 May in Washington with Robert Satloff the executive director of WINEP (The Washington Institute for Near East Policy), a pro-Israeli think tank. You can read the whole interview here: https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/uploads/Documents/testimony/KushnerConversation-Soref2019-Transcript-FINAL.pdf
    Here is a quote that I believe captures all that is wrong with the Kushner deal: “We ( Kushner, Jason Greenblatt, David Friedman) said, you know, “Two States” versus “One State”, you know you can’t say “Two State”. I realized that meant different things to different people. If you say “Two States” it means one thing to the Israelis, it means one thing to the Palestinians so we said let’s just not say it”. There we have a curious mix of ignorance, arrogance and naivete that pulled together, makes for a sinister and lethal cocktail. The essence of the deal that Kushner wants to make is to have the Palestinians give up just about their core demands in return for an economic deal. Meanwhile the Israelis get pretty much everything they want. It isn’t going to happen
    Satloff himself acknowledged the profound lunacy of the Kushner approach, though he did it in rather more gentle terms than I am using. He writes in a follow up article to the interview (https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/jared-kushners-peace-plan-would-be-a-disaster) “”Reading between the lines, it seems as though they view the peace process as the functional equivalent of turning a rent-controlled apartment building in midtown Manhattan into luxury condominiums.” Satloff doesn’t say it but I will. The strategy is to make life as awful as you can for the sitting tenants to get them out.
    He is emphatic that the deal will fail and fail miserably. In fact he almost begs someone, anyone to get to the president and tell him his son-in-law’s deal is DOA.
    “It may require enlisting the support of someone the President respects—prominent Republican donor Sheldon Adelson or Trump-whisperer Lindsey Graham come to mind—to make an appeal on his behalf. For Israel and its friends, the key point remains: The only way to protect the long-term viability of the best aspects of the Kushner plan is to kill the plan.”
    Back in February this year Dennis Ross and David Makovsky outlined to me why they believe the plan is a disaster in the making. They are two men with a deep understanding of the decades-long peace process between the Palestinians and Israelis, the sort of experts that Trump, Kushner et al airily dismiss. Here is the article I wrote at the time: https://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/opinion/trump-ultimate-deal-faces-ultimate-failure-190303130838617.html

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