Ceasefire scenarios

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1. A rare street protest in Bahrain
   

   Summary: for more than a decade the government of Bahrain has used the harsh repression of individual rights and the banning of protests to silence critics but this week saw the detention of a prominent cleric bring people defiantly into the streets....

2. GCC banks reap benefits of higher interest rates
   

   Summary: GCC banks have generally performed well but their long term viability will depend on how effectively Gulf states transition away from hydrocarbons-dependent economies....

3. Shia in Saudi Arabia
   

   Summary: six killed in the latest clash with security forces in Qatif, Eastern province. A woman activist may face execution....

4. IS – the outlook
   

   Summary: IS all but defeated in Syria, reduced to guerrilla tactics as in Iraq and elsewhere. Remains a terrorist threat along with al-Qa’ida and other fragments....